Former President Donald Trump was dealt a quadruple polling blow as Vice President Kamala Harris continues to surge ahead of November’s 2024 election.
Across six national polls released on Tuesday and Wednesday, Trump trailed behind Harris in four and led in two. Harris was up by 4 percentage points in a Civiqs survey, 3 points in a Leger survey, 2 points in a YouGov survey and a point in an Ispos survey. Trump, on the other hand, had a 2-point advantage in a McLaughlin poll and a 2.6-point advantage in an ActiVote poll.
The polls suggest that the Democratic shake-up prompted by President Joe Biden‘s withdrawal from the race is working. The 2024 race has become much closer with Harris at the top of the ticket than with Biden.
Newsweek has contacted the Trump and Harris campaigns via email.
Even though Cook Political Report’s latest national average, which was released Wednesday, showed Trump ahead by 1.3 point, it also showed Harris was able to halve Trump’s lead, cutting it down from the 2.7 points, of which the former president was ahead against Biden.
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The Leger poll, which found Harris with a 3-point advantage over Trump in a head-to-head, showed Harris with her biggest margin yet when other candidates were taken into account. The vice president led Trump by 7 points, with 48 percent support to his 41 percent. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. led third-party candidates at 5 percent. This marked a significant decrease in the number of voters who say they would support a third-party candidate, from 12 percent in June to 5 percent in July. The Leger poll was conducted between July 26 to 28 among 1,002 people and has a margin of error of +/-3.1 percentage points.
The Civiqs poll, which showed Trump trailing Harris by 4 points, showed Harris with strong support among voters aged 18 through 49, while Trump did better among those aged 50 and older. Harris had a higher favorability rating than both Trump and his running mate, Senator JD Vance, with 43 percent holding a favorable opinion of the vice president, 42 percent saying the same of Trump and 34 percent saying so of Vance.
The survey also indicated that the majority of Democrats were glad Biden left the presidential race and that overall, half of Americans think Harris has a better chance at defeating Trump. However, more voters, 45 percent, still predicted Trump would win, compared to 42 percent who expected Harris to prevail. The Civiqs poll was conducted between July 27 and 30 among 1,123 registered voters and has a margin of error of +/-3 percentage points.
The YouGov survey marked the first time since November that the pollster recorded a Democratic candidate leading by more than one point over Trump. In the last survey, conducted before Harris replaced Biden, Trump led by 2 points. Thursday’s poll shows Harris bringing Democrats up 4 points and holding the advantage over Trump, with 46 percent to his 44 percent. The poll was conducted between July 27 to 30 among 1,605 adults and has a margin of error of +/-3 percentage points.
While the Ispos poll showed Harris in the lead by one point, it was a slight dip for the vice president who was leading over Trump by 2 points last week. It also found that Harris has been able to improve her standing among Americans, lifting her favorability rating from 40 percent on July 2 to 46 percent by the end of the month.This poll was conducted between July 26 to 28 among 1,025 people and has a margin of error of +/-3.5 percentage points.
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Newsweek is committed to challenging conventional wisdom and finding connections in the search for common ground.